Mortgage costs are on the rise, with the average rate for a two-year fixed deal now standing at 5.5%. This trend persists even after a recent reduction in the Bank of England’s base interest rate. In recent days, major lenders like Barclays, HSBC, NatWest, and Nationwide have increased their rates on new fixed mortgage deals.
This situation has left borrowers puzzled, especially as many had hoped for a consistent downward trend in mortgage costs. The rise is partly attributed to recent events, such as the UK Budget, which have generally pushed borrowing costs higher.
Borrowers with tracker and variable-rate mortgages are directly affected by changes in the Bank of England’s base rate. However, the majority—over 80%—of UK mortgage holders are on fixed-rate deals. These rates remain unchanged until the fixed term ends, typically after two or five years.
Each year until 2027, approximately 800,000 fixed-rate mortgages, many with interest rates of 3% or lower, are expected to expire. These borrowers, along with first-time buyers entering the market, are keen to secure affordable mortgage rates.
While mortgage rates have come down from their August 2023 peak of 6.85%, they remain elevated. The average rate for a two-year deal now stands at 5.5%, while five-year deals average 5.22%. Even the most competitive deals, often available to those with large deposits, are now above 4%.
On November 7, the Bank of England reduced its base rate from 5% to 4.75%, a move that was widely anticipated by financial markets. As a result, the cut had already been factored into borrowing costs before it was announced.
The Bank also signaled that future rate cuts may be slower and less frequent than previously expected. According to mortgage brokers, this change in outlook, coupled with spending commitments in the recent Budget, has contributed to the rising costs of fixed-rate mortgages.
High interest rates are intended to control inflation, but Budget-related spending promises have raised concerns about their effectiveness in doing so. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey has indicated that while rates will likely “fall gradually,” they cannot be reduced “too quickly or by too much.”
Mortgage lenders set their rates not only based on current interest rates but also on where they anticipate rates will be in the future. This expectation of rates remaining “higher for longer” has driven recent increases in mortgage costs.
“Rates are edging up because lenders are pricing in higher future costs. However, unlike recent years, there’s no indication that rates will skyrocket. The base rate is expected to decline, but the pace may be slower than hoped,” explained David Hollingworth of L&C Mortgages.
The Treasury has emphasized that the Budget aims to ensure sustainable public finances, which it claims is crucial for stabilizing mortgage rates.
While the long-term trend for interest rates is expected to be downward, the timing remains uncertain. The short lifespan of mortgage deals adds to the challenge for borrowers.
“Best-buy deals are disappearing quickly. If your mortgage is up for renewal, keep a close eye on rates, as lenders rarely notify borrowers of impending increases,” said Aaron Strutt of Trinity Financial.
While mortgage rates remain challenging, careful planning and timely decisions can help mitigate the financial strain.
We use Cookies.